"Numbers Don't Lie" Latest Polls Reveals Counties That Ruto, Gachagua And Kalonzo Have Taken Charge

The contest for Kenya’s 2027 presidency is already generating strong political activity, with emerging patterns showing where the leading contenders draw their voter strength.

President William Ruto, Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka and Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) leader Rigathi Gachagua appear to be consolidating influence in regions that could determine the direction of the race.

Early assessments point to President Ruto commanding a broad network of counties spread across Rift Valley, Western, Nyanza, Coast and Northern Kenya.

 Areas such as Uasin Gishu, Nandi, Elgeyo Marakwet, Kericho and West Pokot remain central pillars of his support.

The president also maintains substantial backing in counties like Kisumu, Turkana, Samburu, Bomet and Narok

. Combined, these regions account for more than nine million registered voters, giving him a sizeable head start as the political season intensifies.

Kalonzo Musyoka, who is positioning himself as the leading opposition contender, appears to be anchoring his campaign in regions that traditionally lean toward anti-government formations.

Counties such as Nyandarua, Kiambu, Kirinyaga, Nyeri, Meru, Machakos, Makueni, Kitui and Nakuru are mapped as part of this bloc.

These counties cumulatively contribute over eight million voters, placing the Wiper leader in a strong position to mount a competitive national bid.

Rigathi Gachagua, who is charting his own path under the banner of the Democracy for the Citizens Party.

Expected to appeal to parts of Mt. Kenya and areas where his message of regional empowerment has gained traction.

His emerging influence is likely to shape turnout and alliances, especially in counties that are yet to fully align with either of the major blocs.

Between the two main groupings lies a crucial battleground zone made up of Nairobi, Kajiado, Garissa, Taita Taveta, Lamu, Isiolo, Marsabit, Trans Nzoia and Bungoma.

These counties hold more than four million voters and are projected to play a decisive role since their political loyalties have shifted frequently in previous elections.